NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. 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Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. margin: 3px; If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. John doesn't need any help from us. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. 0:04. color: #FFF; Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Owned by WinStar . Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. 7 Winners on Monday! The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. table.tableizer-table { Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. }. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. Last year, he was on fire. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Sell. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. Hence, their status as longshots. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. No one else has topped 96. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. 107. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. padding: 4px; Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. If the download does not complete, Click Here. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Periods of rain. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Chance of rain 100%. Photo: Benoit. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. No specifics, he said. Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. In the army they called it unity of command. font-size: 12px; 84. [citation needed]. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. .tableizer-table th { Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. Happy Jack. That . Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . } Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. After the New York Times gave the book an unexpected rave review, Picking Winners attracted a wide audience. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline Sonora, CA (95370) Today. background-color: #104E8B; Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. . border: 1px solid #CCC; His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. You can throw out superlative after superlative. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Every race since has been shorter. Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances.
beyer speed figures 2022